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Bitcoin traders just stripped away crash protection – right as the Fed prepares its most unpredictable rate decision in years

Source: CryptoSlate · 2026-07-28

Bitcoin traders have spent the past month reducing protection against a price decline while the Fed has made its next decision harder to predict. The Bitcoin options put-to-call open-interest ratio has fallen to approximately 0.52 from 0.76 in late June, meaning about 52 put contracts remain open for every 100 calls. Meanwhile, Fed Funds futures assigned around a 35% probability to a quarter-point rate increase after the implied probability briefly reached 40% on Monday. Chart showing the target

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Summary

OTHERCRITICAL

Event (importance: critical). KB match (other): "The best photos from NASA's first moon mission in ". Affected sectors: general. Primary variables: equity_valuations, investor_sentiment. Causal chain: Rising recession odds lead to decreased consumer confidence → Decreased consumer confidence leads to reduced consumer spending → Reduced consumer spending and business investment lead to lower economic growth.

Market Impact

▼Bearish· Large magnitude

Key variables: equity valuations, investor sentiment

Affected sectors: general market, financials, energy

Market Prediction

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Analysis by Catalayer AI · 11102 knowledge records · catalayer.com